EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Sep 22, 2020 at 7pm UK

The Hawthorns

West Brom
2 - 2
Brentford

Robson-Kanu (56' pen.), Edwards (66' pen.)
O'Shea (88')

FT
(aet)

Marcondes (58'), Forss (73' pen.)

Brentford win 5-4 on penalties

Brentford boss Thomas Frank dismisses revenge talk following West Brom victory

Brentford will face Fulham or Sheffield Wednesday in the next round of the cup.

Sep 22, 22:34

The Match

Match Report

Brentford dumped West Brom out of the Carabao Cup.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup third round tie between West Bromwich Albion and Brentford, including team news and injury news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%).

Result
West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Brentford
39.68%	26.08%	34.25%

Both teams to score 53.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.27%

50.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.37%

72.63%

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.86%

25.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.15%

59.85%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.74%

28.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.03%

63.97%

Score Analysis

West Bromwich Albion 39.68%

Brentford 34.25%

Draw 26.07%

West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 9.81% 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.56% Total : 39.68%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 8.98% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 5.67% 1-3 @ 3.3% 0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.25%