EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The New Lawn
Forest Green2 - 0Leyton Orient
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Forest Green Rovers and Leyton Orient.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Ipswich
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Fleetwood Town | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Forest Green Rovers | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Crewe Alexandra | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Barrow | 2 | 2 | 6 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Leyton Orient |
51.73% ( 1.08) | 24.96% ( -0.31) | 23.31% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 50.19% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.01% ( 0.52) | 51.99% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.27% ( 0.45) | 73.73% ( -0.45) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.91% ( 0.65) | 20.09% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.67% ( 1.04) | 52.33% ( -1.04) |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.81% ( -0.42) | 37.19% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.02% ( -0.42) | 73.97% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers 51.73%
Leyton Orient 23.31%
Draw 24.96%
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 1-0 @ 11.99% 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.72% Total : 51.73% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.92% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.71% Total : 23.31% |
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Form Guide
