Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 34

Apr 12, 2024 at 7pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
4 - 1
Jong AZ

Svensson (24'), Nizet (35'), Hilterman (53'), de Leeuw (90+3')
Lachkar (31'), Svensson (44')
Lachkar (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Stam (15')
Svensson (35')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Willem II and Jong AZ.

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions

Last Game: Jong Utrecht 1-1 Willem II
Monday, April 8 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Jong AZ

All competitions

Last Game: Jong AZ 3-2 Emmen
Monday, April 8 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 72.12%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 11.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 3-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	Jong AZ
72.12% ( 0.02)	15.97% ( -0.04)	11.91% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 57.43% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.97% (

0.25)

31.03% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.57% (

0.29)

52.42% (

-0.29)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.48% (

0.07)

7.52% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.01% (

0.16)

26.99% (

-0.16)

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.1% (

0.2)

37.89% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.33% (

0.19)

74.66% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Willem II 72.12%

Jong AZ 11.91%

Draw 15.97%

Willem II	Draw	Jong AZ
2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 5.32% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.8% Total : 72.12%	1-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 15.97%	1-2 @ 3.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 11.91%