Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.