Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 61.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 17.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.