Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 53.83%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
