Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 73.06%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 10.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.