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Danish Superliga | Gameweek 1
Jul 19, 2024 at 5pm UK
Ceres Park
Midtjylland

Aarhus
1 - 1
Midtjylland

Bech (8')
Anderson (35'), Rosler (36'), Andersen (89'), Andersen (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Buksa (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Danish Superliga clash between Aarhus and FC Midtjylland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brondby 2-3 Aarhus
Sunday, May 26 at 4pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 3-3 Silkeborg
Sunday, May 26 at 4pm in Danish Superliga

We said: Aarhus 1-3 FC Midtjylland

Aarhus are in for a tough 90 minutes against a well-drilled Midtjylland side, who have won each of their last four meetings and have lost just one game across all competitions since the start of May. While we expect the hosts to put up a fight, Thomasberg's men boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
AarhusDrawFC Midtjylland
45.61% (0.344 0.34) 25.3% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 29.08% (-0.364 -0.36)
Both teams to score 54.13% (-0.274 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.77% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)49.23% (0.253 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.71% (-0.233 -0.23)71.29% (0.229 0.23)
Aarhus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (0.046999999999997 0.05)21.58% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.32% (0.073 0.07)54.67% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)30.97% (0.389 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.73% (-0.464 -0.46)67.27% (0.46000000000001 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Aarhus 45.6%
    FC Midtjylland 29.08%
    Draw 25.3%
AarhusDrawFC Midtjylland
1-0 @ 10.24% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.86% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.71% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 45.6%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.069 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.83% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 29.08%

How you voted: Aarhus vs Midtjylland

Aarhus
Draw
FC Midtjylland
Aarhus
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
FC Midtjylland
71.4%
35
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 7
Midtjylland
2-1
Aarhus
Kyu-Sung (24'), Bech Sorensen (32')
Martinez (45'), Byskov (90+1')
Anker (45+1')
Brandhof (55')
Apr 7, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 2
Aarhus
0-1
Midtjylland

Kahl (39'), Andersen (73'), Duelund (90+8')
Anker (84')
Osorio (21' pen.)
Osorio (33'), Romer (57'), Ingi Ingason (85'), Simsir (90+8')
Feb 25, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 19
Aarhus
2-3
Midtjylland
Mortensen (9' pen., 76' pen.)
Brandhof (47'), Kahl (55')
Kyu-Sung (45+4' pen.), Han-Beom (48'), Charles (90+6')
Ingi Ingason (7'), Paulinho (33'), Sorensen (88'), Charles (90+7'), Thomasberg (90+11'), Kyu-Sung (90+11')
Paulinho (49'), Ingi Ingason (75')
Sep 3, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 7
Midtjylland
1-1
Aarhus
Brynhildsen (26')
Thomasberg (0'), Lossl (60'), Rosler (77+77'), Martinez (79'), Paulinho (84')
Bech (83')
Knudsen (27'), Poulsen (84'), Bech (90+6')
Oct 9, 2022 1pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1FC MidtjyllandMidtjylland22143542271545
2Copenhagen22118338241441
3AarhusAarhus2299442231936
4RandersRanders2298539281135
5Nordsjaelland2210573936335
6Brondby2289542321033
Relegation Round
1SilkeborgSilkeborg228953829933
2Viborg FFViborg227783839-128
3Aalborg BKAaB2256112341-1821
4Lyngby BoldklubLyngby Boldklub2239101526-1118
5SonderjyskESonderjyskE2245132651-2517
6Vejle2234152450-2613
 
Regular Season
1FC MidtjyllandMidtjylland22143542271545
2Copenhagen22118338241441
3AarhusAarhus2299442231936
4RandersRanders2298539281135
5Nordsjaelland2210573936335
6Brondby2289542321033
7SilkeborgSilkeborg228953829933
8Viborg FFViborg227783839-128
9Aalborg BKAaB2256112341-1821
10Lyngby BoldklubLyngby Boldklub2239101526-1118
11SonderjyskESonderjyskE2245132651-2517
12Vejle2234152450-2613


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