MX23RW : Wednesday, March 19 09:24:16| >> :120:62913:62913:
[monks data]
Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Ricoh Arena
Millwall logo

Coventry
6 - 1
Millwall

Shipley (16'), McFadzean (45+1'), Hyam (59'), O'Hare (62'), James (67'), Walker (84')
McFadzean (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)
McFadzean (54' og.)
McNamara (6'), Evans (45+2'), Woods (69')

Preview: Coventry City vs. Millwall - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Millwall will be seeking back-to-back victories to conclude their Championship campaign with they take on Coventry City at St Andrew's Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

The Lions beat Bristol City 4-1 last time out to move into 11th place, while Coventry are 10 points worse off in 17th following last week's 1-1 draw with Huddersfield Town.


Match preview

Millwall's Scott Malone celebrates scoring their first goal against Preston North End in the Championship on March 2, 2021© Reuters

Millwall had aspirations of making the playoffs at one stage this season, but the best they can now hope for heading into the final weekend of games is a ninth-placed finish.

That would still represent a good campaign for Gary Rowett's men, albeit one that has faded somewhat with one point from a possible 12 prior to the win against Bristol City.

That comfortable victory at The Den last weekend should boost the Lions' confidence, with Jed Wallace, Scott Malone, Billy Mitchell and Tom Bradshaw all registering.

Millwall have failed to score in consecutive away games, though, and they have lost their final Championship match of the season the last five times they have ended the campaign away.

Coventry City's Dominic Hyam celebrates scoring against Barnsley in the Championship on April 18, 2021© Reuters

Like their opponents, Coventry do not have a great deal to play for on Saturday other than jostling for position in the lower reaches of the division.

A run of three straight wins in April confirmed City's place in the second tier for another campaign, though they have since lost to Preston North End and drawn with Huddersfield.

Jordan Shipley gave the Sky Blues the lead at the John Smith's Stadium, only for Danny Ward to equalise 11 minutes from time after goalkeeper Ben Wilson dropped a corner.

Fifteenth is the highest Coventry can finish come the full-time whistle on Saturday, but staying up is ultimately an achievement in what is their first season back at this level.

Coventry were 2-1 winners when the sides met at The Den four months ago, and they are looking to record a league double over Millwall for a second time in the last three seasons.

However, the away team has won four of the last six Football League meetings between these sides, including on the last two occasions the teams have met.

Coventry City Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D

Millwall Championship form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W



Team News

Millwall's Jed Wallace celebrates scoring against Birmingham City in the Championship on February 17, 2021© Reuters

Fankaty Dabo and Tyler Walker replaced Julien Dacosta and Max Biamou respectively in Coventry's starting XI at Huddersfield, but Mark Robins may be tempted to make more changes.

Shipley scored as a half-time substitute last time out, while Josh Eccles and Josh Pask are two others pushing for inclusion from the beginning.

Jodi Jones, Ben Sheaf, Liam Kelly and Leo Ostigard are all carrying injuries, but young Portuguese forward Fabio Tavares is available for selection.

As for Millwall, Ryan Woods was brought in for Maikel Kieftenbeld in the only change to the side that faced Bristol City, meaning another start for Mahlon Romeo in a back three.

Rowett could make a few tweaks for this final game of the campaign with an eye on next season, which could see the likes of Jon Dadi Bodvarsson and Shaun Williams recalled.

Wallace seems likely to get the nod in attack as he looks to build on an impressive return of 39 Championship goals and assists since the start of last season.

Coventry City possible starting lineup:
Wilson; Rose, McFadzean, Hyam; Dabo, Hamer, O'Hare, James, McCallum; Shipley; Gyokeres

Millwall possible starting lineup:
Bialkowski; Romeo, Evans, Cooper; McNamara, Mitchell, Woods, Bennett, Malone; Bodvarsson, Wallace


SM words green background

We say: Coventry City 1-2 Millwall

Millwall returned to winning ways last time out and will be keen to finish as high up the table as possible.

Given the points gap between the teams, and the recent record of the away side in this fixture, we are backing the Lions to grind out a narrow victory.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:446210:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect10141:
Written by
Daniel Lewis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Coventry vs Millwall

Coventry City
Draw
Millwall
Coventry City
44.7%
Draw
21.1%
Millwall
34.2%
38
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Millwall manager Gary Rowett pictured in February 2021
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