COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 10, 2021 at 11am UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
Botswana4 - 0Lesotho
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botswana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Botswana | Draw | Lesotho |
| 42.11% | 24.26% | 33.62% |
| Both teams to score 59.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
