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Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 6, 2022 at 4.45pm UK
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Brescia logo

Pisa
1 - 4
Brescia

Masucci (20')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nicolas (25' og.), Aye (61'), Ndoj (72'), Bianchi (90+4')
Karacic (36'), Moreo (66')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Pisa and Brescia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pisa

Last Six:
    Last Game: Pisa 3-4 Monza (0-0 pen.)
    Sunday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Serie B

    Brescia

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Monza 2-1 Brescia
      Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie B

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Pisa win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.

      Result
      PisaDrawBrescia
      34.5% (2.097 2.1) 27.15% (0.567 0.57) 38.35% (-2.667 -2.67)
      Both teams to score 50.29% (-1.3 -1.3)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      44.91% (-1.866 -1.87)55.09% (1.863 1.86)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      23.65% (-1.561 -1.56)76.34% (1.558 1.56)
      Pisa Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      69.76% (0.443 0.44)30.24% (-0.446 -0.45)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      33.59% (0.527 0.53)66.4% (-0.53 -0.53)
      Brescia Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      72.09% (-2.337 -2.34)27.9% (2.334 2.33)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      36.48% (-3.081 -3.08)63.51% (3.077 3.08)
      Score Analysis
          Pisa 34.5%
          Brescia 38.34%
          Draw 27.15%
      PisaDrawBrescia
      1-0 @ 10.09% (0.822 0.82)
      2-1 @ 7.7% (0.236 0.24)
      2-0 @ 6.04% (0.56 0.56)
      3-1 @ 3.07% (0.13 0.13)
      3-0 @ 2.41% (0.25 0.25)
      3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.045 -0.04)
      4-1 @ 0.92% (0.049 0.05)
      Other @ 2.31%
      Total : 34.5%
      		1-1 @ 12.88% (0.24 0.24)
      0-0 @ 8.44% (0.592 0.59)
      2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.175 -0.18)
      Other @ 0.92%
      Total : 27.15%
      		0-1 @ 10.76% (0.07 0.07)
      1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.399 -0.4)
      0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.422 -0.42)
      1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.421 -0.42)
      0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.392 -0.39)
      2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.223 -0.22)
      1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.22 -0.22)
      0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.198 -0.2)
      Other @ 1.92%
      Total : 38.34%

      Head to Head
      Apr 6, 2022 6pm
      Pisa
      0-0
      Brescia

      Beruatto (46')
      Lucca (83')

      Moreo (26'), Cistana (66'), Karacic (90+1')
      Nov 27, 2021 3.15pm
      Brescia
      0-1
      Pisa

      Cistana (46'), van de Looi (65'), Chancellor (69'), Spalek (90+5'), Jagiello (90+7')
      Sibilli (70')
      Birindelli (38'), Leverbe (52'), Lucca (86'), Di Quinzio (90'), Caracciolo (90+6')
      May 7, 2021 1pm
      Brescia
      4-3
      Pisa
      Aye (18', 65', 82'), Donnarumma (52' pen.)
      Jagiello (21'), Martella (28'), Mangraviti (63'), Mateju (80')
      Marin (9'), De Vitis (68' pen.), Sibilli (85')
      Jan 16, 2021 1pm
      Pisa
      1-0
      Brescia
      Lisi (21')
      Mazzitelli (13'), Benedetti (90+2')

      Mateju (90+4')
      rhs 2.0
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