Lecce

2 - 1

Mantova

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Mantova win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lecce in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lecce.