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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Mar 20, 2021 at 5pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Atletico Tucuman

Gimnasia
2 - 0
Tucuman

Weigandt (10'), Carbonero (75')
Carbonero (76'), Weigandt (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lagos (30'), Mussis (63'), Acosta (72'), Vergini (89')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Gimnasia and Atletico Tucuman.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.

Result
GimnasiaDrawAtletico Tucuman
41.46%28.36%30.18%
Both teams to score 45.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.57%60.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.43%80.57%
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29%28.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47%64.53%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.96%36.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.18%72.82%
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 41.46%
    Atletico Tucuman 30.17%
    Draw 28.35%
GimnasiaDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 12.91%
2-1 @ 8.22%
2-0 @ 8.06%
3-1 @ 3.42%
3-0 @ 3.35%
3-2 @ 1.75%
4-1 @ 1.07%
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 41.46%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 10.34%
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.35%
0-1 @ 10.55%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 5.39%
1-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 30.17%

Head to Head
Jan 11, 2021 12.30am
Feb 29, 2020 8.30pm
Gameweek 22
Gimnasia
1-0
Tucuman
Garcia (54')
Contin (68'), Melluso (78')
Melluso (79')

Ortiz (65'), Ortiz (71'), Cabral (90')
Jan 26, 2019 10.20pm
Gameweek 16
Tucuman
4-1
Gimnasia
Alvarez (10'), Diaz (14' pen.), Cabral (44'), Matos (54' pen.)
Faravelli (36')
Gonzalo (13'), Guanini (52'), Gomez (60'), Licht (67'), Mussis (68')
rhs 2.0
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