Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

Apr 11, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Municipal Nicolas Chahuan Nazar

Union La Calera
0 - 1
U. Catolica

Ferreyra (49')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Diaz (61')
Quinonez (89'), Grillo (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Union La Calera and Universidad Catolica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union La Calera

Last Game: Alianza Petrolera 0-1 Union La Calera
Thursday, April 4 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Universidad Catolica

Last Game: U. Catolica 0-0 Cruzeiro
Friday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Union La Calera had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Union La Calera win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Universidad Catolica in this match.

Result
Union La Calera	Draw	Universidad Catolica
26.17% ( -0.51)	25.09% ( 0.03)	48.74% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 52.64% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.84% (

-0.49)

50.15% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.88% (

-0.44)

72.12% (

0.44)

Union La Calera Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.3% (

-0.67)

33.7% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.65% (

-0.74)

70.35% (

0.74)

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.4% (

0.01)

20.6% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.86% (

0.01)

53.14% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Union La Calera 26.17%

Universidad Catolica 48.74%

Draw 25.08%

Union La Calera	Draw	Universidad Catolica
1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.32% Total : 26.17%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.08%	0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 48.74%