Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 4, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata
Alianza Petrolera0 - 1Union La Calera
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Alianza Petrolera and Union La Calera.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alianza Petrolera 2-1 America
Thursday, March 7 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, March 7 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Everton 0-1 Union La Calera
Wednesday, March 6 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, March 6 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Petrolera win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Union La Calera had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Petrolera win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Union La Calera win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alianza Petrolera | Draw | Union La Calera |
44.71% ( -0.05) | 27.37% ( 0.02) | 27.92% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.2% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.14% ( -0.05) | 57.87% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.42% ( -0.04) | 78.58% ( 0.04) |
Alianza Petrolera Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.23% ( -0.05) | 25.78% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.28% ( -0.06) | 60.72% ( 0.06) |
Union La Calera Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.58% ( -0.01) | 36.42% ( 0.01) |