Libertad may be the more experienced side, but Sportivo showed they are worthy opponents last week, and we believe the home crowd's energy will help them maintain their nerve throughout this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 43.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Sportivo Ameliano had a probability of 28.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.64%) and 1-2 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Sportivo Ameliano win it was 1-0 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result
Sportivo Ameliano	Draw	Club Libertad
28.17% ( 0.39)	28.41% ( -0.05)	43.42% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 44.52% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.68% (

0.31)

61.32% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.77% (

0.23)

81.23% (

-0.23)

Sportivo Ameliano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.89% (

0.5)

38.11% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.12% (

0.48)

74.88% (

-0.48)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.94% (

-0.04)

28.05% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.29% (

-0.05)

63.71% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Sportivo Ameliano 28.16%

Club Libertad 43.42%

Draw 28.4%

Sportivo Ameliano	Draw	Club Libertad
1-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.63% Total : 28.16%	1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.4%	0-1 @ 13.59% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 43.42%

How you voted: Ameliano vs Libertad

Sportivo Ameliano

66.7%

Draw

13.3%

Club Libertad

20.0%

Head to Head

Aug 15, 2024 11pm

Round of 16 1st Leg

Libertad

1-1

Ameliano

Espinoza (58')
Aguilar (59'), Caballero (62'), Fabian Fernandez Benitez (71')

Samudio (23')
Javier Baez (16'), Maiz (26'), Contrera (29'), Leonel Benitez (54'), Rossi (59')

> Preview

Form Guide

Libertad 1-1 Ameliano

Athletico PR 0-1 Ameliano

Ameliano 1-0 Rayo Zuliano

Ameliano 2-1 Danubio

Rayo Zuliano 0-4 Ameliano

Danubio 0-0 Ameliano

Libertad 1-1 Ameliano

U. Catolica 1-1 Libertad

Libertad 2-0 U. Catolica

Libertad 2-1 Nacional

River Plate 2-0 Libertad

Tachira 1-1 Libertad

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