Copa Sudamericana | Second Stage
Nov 4, 2020 at 10.15pm UK
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Sao Paulo4 - 3Lanus
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Sao Paulo and Lanus.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 51.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 23.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Lanus |
| 51.25% | 25.42% | 23.33% |
| Both teams to score 48.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
