Velez Sarsfield
3 - 1
LDU Quito

Almada (45'), Janson (69'), Mancuello (90+3')
Galdames (70'), Martin Lucero (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Zunino (78')
Julio (24'), Alcivar (76')
Piovi (87')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Velez Sarsfield and LDU Quito, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for LDU Quito had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest LDU Quito win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	LDU Quito
43.83%	24.31%	31.86%

Both teams to score 58.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.47%

43.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.07%

65.93%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.98%

20.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.78%

52.22%

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.76%

26.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.65%

61.35%

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 43.83%

LDU Quito 31.86%

Draw 24.3%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	LDU Quito
2-1 @ 9.09% 1-0 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 6.8% 3-1 @ 4.88% 3-0 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.98% Total : 43.83%	1-1 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.3%	1-2 @ 7.56% 0-1 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 4.7% 1-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 2.71% 0-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.86%