Velez Sarsfield
1 - 0
Barcelona

(Barcelona SC win 3-2 on aggregate)

Martin Lucero (7')
Guidara (58'), Martin Lucero (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Garces (27'), Pinatares (43'), Leon (57'), Oyola (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Velez Sarsfield and Barcelona SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Barcelona SC
42.86%	23.15%	33.98%

Both teams to score 64.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.75%

37.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.55%

59.45%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.14%

17.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.37%

48.62%

Barcelona SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.98%

22.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.66%

55.33%

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 42.86%

Barcelona SC 33.98%

Draw 23.15%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Barcelona SC
2-1 @ 8.83% 1-0 @ 6.77% 2-0 @ 5.83% 3-1 @ 5.07% 3-2 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 3.35% 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.89% Total : 42.86%	1-1 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 6.68% 0-0 @ 3.93% 3-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.15%	1-2 @ 7.76% 0-1 @ 5.95% 0-2 @ 4.5% 1-3 @ 3.91% 2-3 @ 3.37% 0-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.46% Total : 33.98%