Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 4, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
San Lorenzo1 - 1Palmeiras
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between San Lorenzo and Palmeiras.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 San Lorenzo
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
10
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 41.72%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.65%) and 1-2 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 1-0 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
San Lorenzo | Draw | Palmeiras |
28% ( 0.15) | 30.28% ( 0.18) | 41.72% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 39.82% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.91% ( -0.45) | 67.09% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.68% ( -0.3) | 85.32% ( 0.3) |
San Lorenzo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.47% ( -0.13) | 41.53% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.97% ( -0.12) | 78.03% ( 0.12) |
Palmeiras Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.1% ( -0.42) | 31.89% ( 0.42) |