Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 25, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Colo-Colo
3 - 4
Fortaleza

Ceballos (45+1' og.), Pavez (65'), Gil (80')
Suazo (40'), Gutierrez (81'), Falcon (90+2')
Alejandro Rojas Orellana (51')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Romero (3'), Moises (25', 54'), Pikachu (61')
Ronald (45+4'), Felipe (58'), Lima (66'), Welison (79'), Robson (90+2'), Ceballos (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Colo-Colo and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colo-Colo

Last Game: Colo-Colo 3-4 Fortaleza
Wednesday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Colo-Colo vs. Internacional
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Colo-Colo 2-1 Fortaleza

Fortaleza have done well to put themselves ahead in the fight for second spot, but they face a particularly tough test on Wednesday, and we see them falling short on their travels. Colo-Colo got the better of their opponents in Brazil and will fancy themselves to triumph again in such an important contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.71%) and 3-1 (5.59%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Colo-Colo	Draw	Fortaleza
45.61%	21.95% ( 0.01)	32.44% ( -0)

Both teams to score 68.03% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.19% (

-0.02)

31.81% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.66% (

-0.03)

53.34% (

0.03)

Colo-Colo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.33% (

-0)

14.68% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.16% (

-0.02)

42.84% (

0.02)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.73% (

-0.01)

20.27% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.38% (

-0.02)

52.62% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Colo-Colo 45.61%

Fortaleza 32.44%

Draw 21.95%

Colo-Colo	Draw	Fortaleza
2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.71% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.59% 2-0 @ 5.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.46% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.45% Total : 45.61%	1-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.98% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.98% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.95%	1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.71% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.44%