Brasileiro | Gameweek 5

May 8, 2022 at 11pm UK

Castelao

Fortaleza
1 - 1
Sao Paulo

Pikachu (69')
Marcelo (15'), Pikachu (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Luciano (57')
Diego (16'), Gomes (45+2'), Luciano (84')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

Last Six:

Last Game: Coritiba 1-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro

Next Game: Sao Paulo vs. America Mineiro
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Athletico Paranaense	10	-1	16
5	Sao Paulo	10	4	15
6	Coritiba	10	2	15

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Sao Paulo
41.75%	28.22%	30.03%

Both teams to score 45.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.02%

59.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.78%

80.22%

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.68%

28.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.95%

64.05%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.1%

35.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.32%

72.68%

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 41.74%

Sao Paulo 30.03%

Draw 28.21%

Fortaleza	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.82% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 8.09% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.7% Total : 41.74%	1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 10.16% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.21%	0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 5.34% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 1.98% Total : 30.03%