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Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
Flamengo

Bolivar
2 - 1
Flamengo

da Costa (2'), Savio (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vina (5')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Bolivar and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivar

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Bolivar 3-2 Millonarios
Thursday, April 11 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 Flamengo
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
BolivarDrawFlamengo
33.66% (-0.261 -0.26) 23.29% (0.023 0.02) 43.05% (0.236 0.24)
Both teams to score 63.4% (-0.172 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.94% (-0.193 -0.19)38.06% (0.192 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.67% (-0.205 -0.2)60.32% (0.204 0.2)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (-0.232 -0.23)22.57% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.83% (-0.345 -0.34)56.17% (0.343 0.34)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.88% (0.019999999999996 0.02)18.11% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.94% (0.033999999999999 0.03)49.06% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bolivar 33.66%
    Flamengo 43.05%
    Draw 23.29%
BolivarDrawFlamengo
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.09% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.53% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 33.66%
1-1 @ 10.39% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.61% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.09% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.87% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 8.88% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.99% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.97% (0.062 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.06% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.77% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.4% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.16% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.61% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 43.05%

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