Copa del Rey | First Round
Oct 31, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Francisco Artes Carrasco
Lorca Deportiva0 - 4Eibar
FT(HT: 0-0)
Troncho (68'), de la Fuente (80'), Aketxe (83', 90' pen.)
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Lorca Deportiva and Eibar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hercules 2-1 Lorca Deportiva
Wednesday, September 6 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Wednesday, September 6 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Eibar 5-1 Valladolid
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 68.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Lorca Deportiva had a probability of 12.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Lorca Deportiva win it was 1-0 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorca Deportiva | Draw | Eibar |
12.2% ( -0.12) | 19.17% ( 0.01) | 68.63% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.45% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.37% ( -0.35) | 45.63% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.05% ( -0.33) | 67.95% ( 0.33) |
| Lorca Deportiva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.91% ( -0.42) | 47.09% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.45% ( -0.32) | 82.55% ( 0.31) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.78% ( -0.07) | 12.21% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.1% ( -0.15) | 37.89% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
Lorca Deportiva 12.2%
Eibar 68.63%
Draw 19.17%
| Lorca Deportiva | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.9% Total : 12.2% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.7% Total : 19.17% | 0-2 @ 12.71% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.15)1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 8.91% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 6.71% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 4.68% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.53% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.97% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.11% Total : 68.63% |
How you voted: Lorca Deportiva vs Eibar
Lorca Deportiva
16.7%Draw
5.6%Eibar
77.8%18
