Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Alajuelense had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Alajuelense win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	Alajuelense
50.47% ( 0.07)	22.8% ( -0.01)	26.72% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 60.8% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.37% (

-0.03)

39.62% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.02% (

-0.04)

61.97% (

0.03)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.11% (

0.01)

15.89% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.88% (

0.03)

45.11% (

-0.03)

Alajuelense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.28% (

-0.07)

27.71% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.72% (

-0.09)

63.27% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 50.47%

Alajuelense 26.72%

Draw 22.8%

New England Revolution	Draw	Alajuelense
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 3.65% Total : 50.47%	1-1 @ 10.39% 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.8%	1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 26.72%