MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:12:26| >> :600:15066550:15066550:
Independiente
CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Agustin Muquita Sanchez
New England Revolution

Independiente
0 - 1
New England


Fields (12'), De la Espada (48'), Murillo (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Chancalay (54')
Vrioni (28')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Independiente and New England Revolution.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Last Game: Instituto 0-2 Independiente
Sunday, February 18 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

New England Revolution

All competitions
Last Game: New England 0-1 Philadelphia
Thursday, November 9 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 66.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 14.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Independiente win it was 2-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawNew England Revolution
14.66% (0.646 0.65) 18.42% (0.191 0.19) 66.92% (-0.837 -0.84)
Both teams to score 56.26% (1.08 1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.68% (0.552 0.55)36.32% (-0.552 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.55% (0.602 0.6)58.45% (-0.601 -0.6)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.54% (1.237 1.24)37.46% (-1.237 -1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (1.192 1.19)74.25% (-1.192 -1.19)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.97% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)10.03% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.9% (-0.123 -0.12)33.1% (0.123 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 14.66%
    New England Revolution 66.92%
    Draw 18.42%
IndependienteDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 4.17% (0.154 0.15)
1-0 @ 3.69% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.81% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.36% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 14.66%
1-1 @ 8.48% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.166 0.17)
0-0 @ 3.76% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.42%
0-2 @ 9.94% (-0.314 -0.31)
1-2 @ 9.76% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.64% (-0.258 -0.26)
0-3 @ 7.62% (-0.263 -0.26)
1-3 @ 7.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 4.38% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-4 @ 4.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.67% (0.119 0.12)
2-4 @ 2.11% (0.064 0.06)
0-5 @ 2.01% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-5 @ 1.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-5 @ 0.97% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 66.92%

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