Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Sichuan Jiuniu win it was 1-0 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.