Shandong Taishan and Shanghai Shenhua head into round 16 of the Super League as two of the most in-form sides in the division and we anticipate an action-packed contest on Tuesday. Choi's side have been near impenetrable at home this season and we fancy them picking up a narrow victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 17.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Shandong Taishan	Draw	Shanghai Shenhua
58.42% ( 0.44)	24.01% ( -0.02)	17.57% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 44.74% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.09% (

-0.5)

54.91% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.8% (

-0.41)

76.2% (

0.41)

Shandong Taishan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.39% (

-0.03)

18.61% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.09% (

-0.04)

49.9% (

0.03)

Shanghai Shenhua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.97% (

-0.81)

45.02% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.05% (

-0.66)

80.95% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

Shandong Taishan 58.4%

Shanghai Shenhua 17.57%

Draw 24%

Shandong Taishan	Draw	Shanghai Shenhua
1-0 @ 14.08% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 58.4%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.61% Total : 24%	0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.54% Total : 17.57%