Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 45.24%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Qingdao Jonoon had a probability of 27.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Qingdao Jonoon win it was 1-0 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Shanghai Shenhua.