Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou City win with a probability of 75.42%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 9.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for a Hebei win it was 0-1 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou City would win this match.

Result
Guangzhou City	Draw	Hebei
75.42% ( 0.78)	15.24% ( -0.37)	9.33% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 49.96% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.45% (

0.44)

35.55% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.4% (

0.48)

57.6% (

-0.48)

Guangzhou City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.09% (

0.27)

7.9% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.03% (

0.69)

27.96% (

-0.68)

Hebei Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.24% (

-0.54)

45.75% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.47% (

-0.43)

81.53% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Guangzhou City 75.42%

Hebei 9.33%

Draw 15.24%

Guangzhou City	Draw	Hebei
2-0 @ 11.64% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.08) 6-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 75.42%	1-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.89% Total : 15.24%	0-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.66% Total : 9.33%