Guangzhou City

1 - 2

Beijing Guoan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.