Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Qingdao Jonoon had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Qingdao Jonoon win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.

Result
Chengdu Qianbao	Draw	Qingdao Jonoon
37.31% ( 0.24)	25.71% ( 0.11)	36.98% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 55.25% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.12% (

-0.48)

48.88% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.03% (

-0.43)

70.97% (

0.43)

Chengdu Qianbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.42% (

-0.09)

25.58% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.54% (

-0.12)

60.46% (

0.12)

Qingdao Jonoon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.24% (

-0.41)

25.76% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.3% (

-0.56)

60.7% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Chengdu Qianbao 37.31%

Qingdao Jonoon 36.98%

Draw 25.7%

Chengdu Qianbao	Draw	Qingdao Jonoon
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.31%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.98%