MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 04:52:40| >> :120:29768:29768:
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Stozice
Galatasaray

Ljubljana
0 - 3
Galatasaray


Motika (54'), Motika (90'), Jakupovic (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Akturkoglu (9'), Mertens (48'), Dervisoglu (90+1')
Oliveira (42'), Dervisoglu (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between NK Olimpija Ljubljana and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Zalgiris
Wednesday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Champions League

We said: NK Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 Galatasaray

Based on their recent form and performances in the previous round, there is very little to choose between these sides despite Galatasaray being the out-and-out favourites to win the match. We fancy the Turkish side to qualify for the playoffs but feel that they will need to secure that win back at home with this one ending level. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
NK Olimpija LjubljanaDrawGalatasaray
29.36% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 23.6% (0.0010000000000012 0) 47.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.51% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)41.49% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.11% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)63.89% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)26.84% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.85% (0.009999999999998 0.01)62.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)17.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.36% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)48.64% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    NK Olimpija Ljubljana 29.36%
    Galatasaray 47.04%
    Draw 23.6%
NK Olimpija LjubljanaDrawGalatasaray
2-1 @ 7.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.13% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.82% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 29.36%
1-1 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 4.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 8.26%
0-2 @ 7.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 1.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 47.04%

How you voted: Ljubljana vs Galatasaray

NK Olimpija Ljubljana
18.2%
Draw
20.0%
Galatasaray
61.8%
55
rhs 2.0
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