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Celta Vigo logo
La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Balaidos
Rayo Vallecano logo

Celta Vigo
2 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Mendez (12', 80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Trejo (34'), Ciss (38')

Preview: Celta Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Rayo Vallecano will be bidding to return to winning ways in La Liga when they continue their campaign away to Celta Vigo on Saturday evening.

The away side are currently eighth in the table, boasting 31 points from their opening 21 league matches of the season, while Celta occupy 12th, having collected 27 points from their 22 La Liga games this term.


Match preview

Celta Vigo head coach Eduardo Coudet pictured in May 2021© Reuters

Celta have won seven, drawn six and lost nine of their 22 La Liga matches this season to collect 27 points, which has left them in 12th spot in the table, four points behind their opponents this weekend.

The Sky Blues, who finished eighth in Spain's top flight last term, have only lost one of their last six in the league, while they have picked up four points from their last two games, beating Osasuna 2-0 on January 19 before holding title-chasing Sevilla to a 2-2 draw at Estadio Ramon on January 22.

Celta actually led by two goals against Sevilla heading into the final 20 minutes, only for the home side to score twice in quick succession to secure a share of the spoils.

Eduardo Coudet's side have impressed on their travels this season, boasting the sixth-best away record, but they have found it difficult in front of their own fans, only collecting 11 points from 11 matches.

Celta are winless in their last four La Liga games against Rayo, meanwhile, and the points were shared in a goalless draw in the reverse match earlier this season.

Rayo Vallecano coach Andoni Iraola reacts on January 2, 2022© Reuters

Rayo, meanwhile, booked their spot in the semi-finals of the Copa del Rey on Wednesday night courtesy of a 1-0 victory over Mallorca, with Oscar Trejo netting the winner from the penalty spot in the 44th minute.

Andoni Iraola's side suffered a 1-0 defeat to Athletic Bilbao in their last La Liga match on January 23, but it has still been an excellent campaign for the club in Spain's top flight.

Indeed, a record of nine wins, four draws and eight defeats from 21 games has brought them 31 points, which is enough for eighth position at this stage, just five points behind fourth-placed Atletico Madrid.

Rayo have only won one of their last five in the league, though, suffering three defeats in the process, which has led to them sliding down the table, having previously been in the top four.

Avoiding dropping back into the second tier was the club's number one priority this season, so they have seriously performed above expectations, with the Madrid outfit having no relegation fears at this stage.

Celta Vigo La Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D

Celta Vigo form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D

Rayo Vallecano La Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L

Rayo Vallecano form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

Rayo Vallecano's Radamel Falcao celebrates scoring against Barcelona in La Liga on October 27, 2021© Reuters

Celta's squad is in excellent shape at the moment, with head coach Coudet, as it stands, having a fully-fit squad to choose from.

As a result, it is not too difficult to predict the home side's starting team, with Iago Aspas and Santi Mina again set to feature as the front two in a 4-1-3-2 formation against Rayo.

Franco Cervi was on the scoresheet against Sevilla last time out and should retain his spot in a wide area, while Denis Suarez, Fran Beltran and Brais Mendez will also be in the first XI.

As for Rayo, Martin Merquelanz remains out with a knee problem, but the visitors have no fresh concerns heading into this weekend's La Liga contest.

Isi Palazon, Trejo and Alvaro Garcia are all set to retain their attacking spots from Wednesday's Copa del Rey contest with Mallorca, but there will be alterations from the side that featured in the cup.

The visitors will also be hopeful that Radamel Falcao is available to lead the line, with the 35-year-old in action for Colombia over the international break.

Celta Vigo possible starting lineup:
Dituro; Mallo, Aidoo, Araujo, Galan; Mendez, D Suarez, Beltran, Cervi; Mina, Aspas

Rayo Vallecano possible starting lineup:
Zidane; Balliu, Saveljich, Catena, F Garcia; Ciss, Comesana; Palazon, Trejo, A Garcia; Falcao


SM words green background

We say: Celta Vigo 2-2 Rayo Vallecano

Celta's home form this season has been disappointing, but Rayo have not travelled particularly well, which makes this a difficult match to call. Both sides are enjoying impressive campaigns, though, and there will be plenty of attacking talent on the field, so we are predicting an entertaining draw here.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano

Celta Vigo
54.4%
Draw
36.8%
Rayo Vallecano
8.8%
57
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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