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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 22, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Leverkusen logo

Holstein Kiel
0 - 2
B. Leverkusen


Knudsen (12'), Zec (24'), Javorcek (75'), Komenda (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Schick (9'), Adli (45')
Hincapie (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 3-1 Holstein Kiel
Sunday, February 16 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-0 Bayern
Saturday, February 15 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Holstein Kiel 2-5 Bayer Leverkusen

It would be highly unusual if the champions were held to another goalless draw, especially as they have continued to create chances in the final third. Holstein Kiel have been poor from a defensive perspective, and it would be surprising if they kept Leverkusen at bay. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 2-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Holstein KielDrawBayer Leverkusen
15.48% (-0.901 -0.9) 19.62% (-0.277 -0.28) 64.9% (1.177 1.18)
Both teams to score 53.96% (-1.16 -1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.69% (-0.497 -0.5)40.3% (0.495 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.32% (-0.516 -0.52)62.68% (0.513 0.51)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.1% (-1.437 -1.44)38.9% (1.436 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.37% (-1.382 -1.38)75.62% (1.381 1.38)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.32% (0.172 0.17)11.68% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.23% (0.369 0.37)36.76% (-0.37 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 15.48%
    Bayer Leverkusen 64.89%
    Draw 19.62%
Holstein KielDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 4.35% (-0.215 -0.22)
1-0 @ 4.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.03% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-1 @ 1.37% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 15.48%
1-1 @ 9.21% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.103 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.62%
0-2 @ 10.47% (0.38 0.38)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.76% (0.286 0.29)
0-3 @ 7.5% (0.319 0.32)
1-3 @ 7.08% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 4.02% (0.197 0.2)
1-4 @ 3.8% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.73% (0.096 0.1)
1-5 @ 1.63% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 64.89%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs B. Leverkusen

Holstein Kiel
Draw
Bayer Leverkusen
Holstein Kiel
15.9%
Draw
7.9%
Bayer Leverkusen
76.2%
63
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Holstein Kiel
Boniface (4'), Hofmann (8')
Frimpong (68'), Tah (90+6')
Geschwill (45+5'), Arp (69' pen.)
Knudsen (60'), Weiner (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern27205278265265
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen27178262342859
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt27146755401548
4Mainz 05Mainz27136845311445
5Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach27134104440443
6RB Leipzig2711974134742
7Freiburg2712693740-342
8Augsburg2710983036-639
9Wolfsburg2710894941838
10Borussia DortmundDortmund27115114842638
11Stuttgart27107104744337
12Werder Bremen27106114353-1036
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2787122639-1331
14Hoffenheim2769123349-1627
15St Pauli2774162233-1125
16Heidenheim2764173252-2022
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2746172756-2918
18Holstein Kiel2745183867-2917


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