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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Stuttgart

Dortmund
1 - 2
Stuttgart

Brandt (81')
Can (17'), Ryerson (56'), Adeyemi (60'), Duranville (90+2')
Ryerson (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Anton (50' og.), Chabot (61')
Stiller (89'), Karazor (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, February 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-0 Augsburg
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Stuttgart

The hosts could benefit from the new manager bounce on Saturday, and backed by their fervent home support, they should be considered favourites. Borussia Dortmund are unlikely to keep Stuttgart from scoring considering they may have to field a makeshift backline, and the visitors will take confidence from their strong record away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.47%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawStuttgart
46.28% (0.22 0.22) 22.44% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 31.29% (-0.169 -0.17)
Both teams to score 65.55% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.2% (0.175 0.17)34.8% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.23% (0.19600000000001 0.2)56.77% (-0.197 -0.2)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.42% (0.146 0.15)15.58% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.45% (0.271 0.27)44.55% (-0.273 -0.27)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (-0.012 -0.01)22.34% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.17% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)55.83% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 46.28%
    Stuttgart 31.29%
    Draw 22.44%
Borussia DortmundDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.47% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.02% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.19% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.73% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.6% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.02 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.76% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.48% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.09% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.44%
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.22% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 31.29%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Stuttgart

Borussia Dortmund
Draw
Stuttgart
Borussia Dortmund
50.7%
Draw
38.7%
Stuttgart
10.7%
75
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 4
Stuttgart
5-1
Dortmund
Undav (4', 90'), Demirovic (21'), Millot (62'), Bilal Toure (80')
Leweling (17')
Guirassy (75')
Can (73'), Sabitzer (77'), Bensebaini (81')
Apr 6, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Dortmund
0-1
Stuttgart

Brandt (45+1'), Adeyemi (72')
Guirassy (64')
Stiller (9'), Millot (26'), Karazor (71'), Nubel (85')
Dec 6, 2023 7.45pm
Round of 16
Stuttgart
2-0
Dortmund
Guirassy (54'), Wamangituka (77')
Anton (64'), Karazor (90+2')

Bensebaini (67')
Nov 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Stuttgart
2-1
Dortmund
Undav (42'), Guirassy (83' pen.)
Undav (15'), Karazor (59')
Fullkrug (36')
Kobel (10'), Adeyemi (15'), Sabitzer (49')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Stuttgart
3-3
Dortmund
Coulibaly (78'), Vagnomann (84'), Wamangituka (90+7')
Haller (26'), Malen (33'), Reyna (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern29216283295469
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen29189263342963
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt29156858421651
4RB Leipzig29139747371048
5Mainz 05Mainz29137946341246
6Freiburg29136104045-545
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach29135114643344
8Borussia DortmundDortmund29126115445942
9Werder Bremen29126114754-742
10Augsburg2911993340-742
11Stuttgart29117115246640
12Wolfsburg29108115145638
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2997132640-1434
14Hoffenheim2979133652-1630
15St Pauli2985162535-1029
16Heidenheim2964193256-2422
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2955192961-3220
18Holstein Kiel2946194070-3018


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