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Brentford logo
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 20, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Griffin Park
Nottingham Forest logo

Brentford
1 - 1
Nott'm Forest

Toney (12' pen.)
Janelt (26'), Dalsgaard (35'), Marcondes (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Krovinovic (63')
Mighten (25'), Cafu (67'), Ameobi (78'), Figueiredo (90')

Preview: Brentford vs. Nottingham Forest - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Brentford and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Promotion-chasing Brentford play host to Nottingham Forest on Saturday afternoon sitting five points adrift of second-placed Watford.

While the Bees are looking to earn a spot in the Premier League, Forest are still attempting to avoid relegation from the Championship after going five matches without a win.


Match preview

Brentford manager Thomas Frank pictured on March 3, 2021© Reuters

Thomas Frank claimed on Tuesday night that Brentford had produced one of their best 45 minutes of football in opening up a two-goal advantage over Derby County.

However, the Rams responded with an improved showing of their own, earning a deserved share of the spoils and delivering a blow to Brentford's promotion bid.

While the London outfit will move to within two points of Watford if they win their game in hand, they are struggling to build any momentum after two months of inconsistent displays.

Frank will be relieved that he can rely on the firepower of top goalscorer Ivan Toney, who took his tally for the season to 27 strikes at Pride Park.

Nevertheless, Brentford now feel like outsiders for the top two, pushing Frank to demand extra from a group of players who still have time to get back on track.

Nottingham Forest manager Chris Hughton pictured on January 23, 2021© Reuters

Chris Hughton will hope that the same applies to his Forest squad after they failed to build on their flurry of points after the turn of the year.

A run of 20 points from 10 matches has been followed by two points from five fixtures, a period which has included several meetings against teams with promotion ambitions.

Hughton will take that into consideration when assessing the form of his players but failing to win since February 23 has left the East Midlands side still having concerns about relegation.

On the positive side, Forest have one of the more favourable run-ins of the teams around them, a factor which should lift the pressure ahead of their trip to the capital.

Brentford Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D

Nottingham Forest Championship form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L


Team News

Brentford defender Pontus Jansson pictured in Championship action on January 11, 2020© Reuters

Ethan Pinnock could be recalled to the Brentford XI in place of Pontus Jansson, who came through 90 minutes on his return from ankle surgery in midweek.

Saman Ghoddos and Tariqe Fosu-Henry are also in contention with Frank expected to introduced some fresh legs for this contest.

Hughton is expected to take a similar approach with Alex Mighten and Lyle Taylor in line to start this fixture.

Yuri Ribeiro and Filip Krovinovic could be restored to the team in place of Tyler Blackett and Cafu respectively.

Brentford possible starting lineup:
Raya; Dalsgaard, Pinnock, Reid, Bech Sorensen; Jensen, Janelt, Ghoddos; Mbeumo, Toney, Fosu-Henry

Nottingham Forest possible starting lineup:
Smith; Christie, Figueredo, McKenna, Ribeiro; Garner, Yates; Ameobi, Krovinovic, Mighten; Taylor


SM words green background

We say: Brentford 2-1 Nottingham Forest

Brentford's recent inconsistency means that the outcome of this contest is not a foregone conclusion. However, with Forest having encountered a number of successive fixtures against the top sides, we feel that fatigue may begin to set in here, allowing the Bees to claim a narrow win.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Brentford vs Nott'm Forest

Brentford
78.0%
Draw
18.6%
Nottingham Forest
3.4%
59
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Brentford manager Thomas Frank pictured on March 3, 2021
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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