Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Palmeiras in this match.