MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 09:46:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 31
Oct 29, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Bahia

Vasco
3 - 2
Bahia

Rodriguez (12'), Payet (18' pen., 32')
Galdames (40'), Maicon (53'), Payet (84')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Rodriguez (42'), Ademir (75')
Xavier (24'), Thaciano (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Cuiaba
Thursday, October 24 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Bahia

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 Bahia
Saturday, October 19 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Vasco da Gama 2-1 Bahia

 While Bahia have been the better side in this fixture over the last couple of years, their away record this season has been very poor, with only three wins earned in 15 outings to date. Vasco da Gama, on the other hand, have been impressive at home, notching up wins over the likes of Sao Paulo and Fortaleza this season, and we feel they will be able to pick up another three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawBahia
42.87% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 27.38%29.75% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.17% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.9% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)57.1% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)77.97% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.36% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.48% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)61.51% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.42% (0.018000000000001 0.02)34.58% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.7% (0.020000000000003 0.02)71.3% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 42.87%
    Bahia 29.75%
    Draw 27.37%
Vasco da GamaDrawBahia
1-0 @ 12.15%
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.1% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 42.87%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 9.12% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 6.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.14% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 29.75%

How you voted: Vasco vs Bahia

Vasco da Gama
69.2%
Draw
30.8%
Bahia
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Jun 27, 2024 1.30am
Gameweek 12
Bahia
2-1
Vasco
Thaciano (7'), Estupinan (86')
Henrique (20')
Adson (32'), David (38'), Carvalho (55'), Henrique (81')
David (59')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 22
Bahia
1-1
Vasco
Ademir (45')
Gilberto (20'), Hugo (88')
Vegetti (63' pen.)
Pele (41'), Medel (72'), Vitor (90+8')
Jair (90+4')
May 2, 2023 12am
Gameweek 3
Vasco
0-1
Bahia
Jan 31, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 33
Vasco
0-0
Bahia
Benitez (16')
Castan (80')
Danielzinho (17'), Gilberto (45'), Rossi (90+9')
Oct 7, 2020 11.15pm
Gameweek 14
Bahia
3-0
Vasco
Rossi (10'), Gilberto (32'), Clayson (45+1')
Gregore (45+2'), Rossi (56'), Ramon (76')

Henrique (20'), Gomes (44'), Pec (77')
Gomes (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826
> Brasileiro Full Table


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