Vasco

2 - 1

America Mineiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 59.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 17.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.