Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
