Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.