Fortaleza3 - 1Atletico GO
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
for
Wednesday, July 17 at 11pm in Brasileiro
for
We said: Fortaleza 2-0 Atletico Goianiense
Atletico Goianiense's only victories since gaining promotion have been against fellow strugglers, underlining their inadequacy against top-level opposition. While stranger things have happened, Fortaleza should avoid any embarrassment against Dragao to notch a fourth consecutive league victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 23.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Atletico Goianiense |
51.28% ( -0.49) | 25.16% ( 0.22) | 23.56% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 49.88% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
