Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 68.68%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 12.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.