![Chapecoense Chapecoense](https://sm.imgix.net/19/14/chaplog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Brasileiro | Gameweek 34
Nov 20, 2021 at 10pm UK
Arena Conda
![Gremio Gremio](https://sm.imgix.net/19/14/grelog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Chapecoense1 - 3Gremio
With relegation already confirmed, Chapecoense will be looking to restore some pride in their remaining five Campeonato Brasileiro fixtures, and they will aim to collect their second victory of the season when they host Gremio on Saturday.
The visitors could also be relegated this season, as they head into the weekend in 18th position and six points adrift of safety.
Read more.
Match preview
Chapecoense will be grateful that their miserable season is nearing an end, with Saturday's hosts rock bottom of the league table. They have only managed one victory all season, and they enter Saturday's encounter on the back of consecutive 2-0 defeats. A loss at home to Juventude was followed by another defeat in midweek, with goals from Marinho and Marcos Guilherme helping Santos to victory. There has been little for Chapecoense fans to cheer about this season, demonstrated by their side holding the worst defensive record in the league - conceding 56 goals this term. Chapecoense's away form suggests that the Gremio clash will be a struggle, with the visitors suffering five defeats in their previous six away games. Gremio are in a precarious position with only six matches left, and they will need to finish the season strong if they are to close the six-point gap to safety. Although, they will be encouraged after collecting two wins in their last three games, which included an impressive 3-0 victory in midweek against Bragantino. Goals from Diego Souza, Lucas Silva and Jhonata Robert guided Gremio to a comfortable victory that they will aim to build upon that result at the weekend. If Gremio are to avoid the drop then they need to improve in their final three away games, having only collected three league victories on the road this season. Only Chapecoense have conceded more away goals than Gremio this term, and Saturday's visitors are also struggling to find the net on their travels, with only 10 goals to their name this season.Chapecoense Brasileiro form:
- L
- L
- D
- D
- L
- L
Gremio Brasileiro form:
- L
- L
- L
- W
- L
- W
Team News
Thigh problems rule Perotti and Kadu out of the contest for Chapecoense, while Felipe Silva and Vagner miss the encounter due to ankle and knee issues respectively. Injuries have been stacking up for the hosts, with Felipe Santana and Tiepo set to miss the rest of the season. Henrique Almeida came into the starting lineup in midweek, and he is set to lead the line once again on Saturday. Gremio are without the services of Douglas Costa, who is still missing with a muscle injury. Goalkeeper Gabriel Chapeco and Mathias Villasanti will come into the starting lineup after returning from international duty. Miguel Borja is also available following international duty, however the forward will likely have to settle for a place on the bench. Chapecoense possible starting lineup: Paulo; Ezequiel, Laercio, Jordan, Busanello; Moises, Leite, Lima; Kaio, Mike, Almeida Gremio possible starting lineup: Brenno; Rafinha, Geromel, Kannemann, Cortez; Villasanti, Silva, Dos Santos; Campaz, Ferreira, SouzaWe said: Chapecoense 1-2 Gremio
Although Gremio have struggled on the road this term, a trip to the side bottom of the league presents a glorious opportunity for the visitors to instil some impetus into their season, and we think Gremio will edge out their hosts on Saturday to claim consecutive victories.Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
Result | ||
Chapecoense | Draw | Gremio |
30.51% | 27.34% | 42.15% |
Both teams to score 48.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.3% | 56.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.34% | 77.66% |
Chapecoense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.2% | 33.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.53% | 70.46% |
Gremio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.44% | 26.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.22% | 61.78% |
Score Analysis |
Chapecoense 30.51%
Gremio 42.14%
Draw 27.34%
Chapecoense | Draw | Gremio |
1-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 7% 2-0 @ 5.28% 3-1 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.37% Total : 30.51% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.98% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 11.9% 1-2 @ 8.56% 0-2 @ 7.89% 1-3 @ 3.78% 0-3 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.07% Total : 42.14% |
How you voted: Chapecoense vs Gremio
Chapecoense
40.0%Draw
40.0%Gremio
20.0%5
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2021 12am
Nov 10, 2019 10pm
Jul 29, 2018 11pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-27 20:18:12
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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