Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Ceara win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.