MX23RW : Monday, December 23 01:00:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 8
May 29, 2022 at 11pm UK
Mineirão
Avai

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
Avai

Hulk (53'), Sasha (66')
Hulk (45+6'), Everson (54'), Jair (60'), Mariano (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morato (41')
Raniele (43'), Eduardo (70')
Friedrich (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Avai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Atletico Mineiro vs. Santos
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 2-1 Avai
Thursday, June 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Botafogo vs. Avai
Monday, June 13 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Avai

Mineiro have been in strong form in the league so far, and Avai have not been so effective away from home, making Sunday's hosts strong favourites for this one. Having lost their last two matches, Avai may be starting a poor run of form in the top flight after just achieving promotion, and coming up against the reigning champions seems like an unwinnable task. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 70.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Avai had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.69%) and 3-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawAvai
70.1% (-2.324 -2.32) 19.15% (1.36 1.36) 10.75% (0.965 0.97)
Both teams to score 41.89% (-0.764 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.81% (-3.06 -3.06)49.19% (3.062 3.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.75% (-2.825 -2.83)71.26% (2.826 2.83)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (-1.529 -1.53)12.85% (1.529 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.79% (-3.232 -3.23)39.22% (3.234 3.23)
Avai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.06% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)51.94% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.04% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)85.97% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 70.1%
    Avai 10.75%
    Draw 19.15%
Atletico MineiroDrawAvai
2-0 @ 14.05% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 13.69% (0.89 0.89)
3-0 @ 9.61% (-0.511 -0.51)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.345 -0.35)
4-0 @ 4.93% (-0.586 -0.59)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.387 -0.39)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-0 @ 2.02% (-0.38 -0.38)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 70.1%
1-1 @ 8.97% (0.577 0.58)
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.798 0.8)
2-2 @ 3.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 19.15%
0-1 @ 4.37% (0.519 0.52)
1-2 @ 2.94% (0.186 0.19)
0-2 @ 1.43% (0.169 0.17)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 10.75%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Avai

Atletico Mineiro
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Avai
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2019 12am
Avai
1-0
Atletico Mineiro
Jonathan (27')
Leo (35'), Lourenco (68'), Thalheimer (95')

Silva (33')
Apr 27, 2019 11pm
Atletico Mineiro
2-1
Avai
Santos (45' pen.), Oliveira (53')
Brizuela (46')
Betao (96')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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