MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:28:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 8
May 29, 2022 at 11pm UK
Mineirão
Avai

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
Avai

Hulk (53'), Sasha (66')
Hulk (45+6'), Everson (54'), Jair (60'), Mariano (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morato (41')
Raniele (43'), Eduardo (70')
Friedrich (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Avai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

Last Six:
Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Atletico Mineiro vs. Santos
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Avai

Last Six:
Last Game: Atletico GO 2-1 Avai
Thursday, June 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Botafogo vs. Avai
Monday, June 13 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Avai

 Mineiro have been in strong form in the league so far, and Avai have not been so effective away from home, making Sunday's hosts strong favourites for this one. Having lost their last two matches, Avai may be starting a poor run of form in the top flight after just achieving promotion, and coming up against the reigning champions seems like an unwinnable task. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 70.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Avai had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.69%) and 3-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawAvai
70.1% (-2.324 -2.32) 19.15% (1.36 1.36) 10.75% (0.965 0.97)
Both teams to score 41.89% (-0.764 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.81% (-3.06 -3.06)49.19% (3.062 3.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.75% (-2.825 -2.83)71.26% (2.826 2.83)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (-1.529 -1.53)12.85% (1.529 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.79% (-3.232 -3.23)39.22% (3.234 3.23)
Avai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.06% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)51.94% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.04% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)85.97% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 70.1%
    Avai 10.75%
    Draw 19.15%
Atletico MineiroDrawAvai
2-0 @ 14.05% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 13.69% (0.89 0.89)
3-0 @ 9.61% (-0.511 -0.51)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.345 -0.35)
4-0 @ 4.93% (-0.586 -0.59)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.387 -0.39)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-0 @ 2.02% (-0.38 -0.38)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 70.1%
1-1 @ 8.97% (0.577 0.58)
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.798 0.8)
2-2 @ 3.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 19.15%
0-1 @ 4.37% (0.519 0.52)
1-2 @ 2.94% (0.186 0.19)
0-2 @ 1.43% (0.169 0.17)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 10.75%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Avai

Atletico Mineiro
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Avai
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2019 12am
Avai
1-0
Atletico Mineiro
Jonathan (27')
Leo (35'), Lourenco (68'), Thalheimer (95')

Silva (33')
Apr 27, 2019 11pm
Atletico Mineiro
2-1
Avai
Santos (45' pen.), Oliveira (53')
Brizuela (46')
Betao (96')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826
> Brasileiro Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!