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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate
Bournemouth logo

Bristol City
0 - 2
Bournemouth

FT(HT: 0-2)
Lowe (21'), Zemura (45+1')
Cahill (40'), Kelly (68')

Preview: Bristol City vs. Bournemouth - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Bournemouth square off against Bristol City on Saturday afternoon looking to extend their unbeaten Championship record to 12 matches.

While the Cherries currently sit at the top of the standings, the home side are in ninth position despite still looking for their first win at Ashton Gate this season.


Match preview

AFC Bournemouth manager Scott Parker reacts after the match on August 24, 2021© Reuters

Bournemouth have been far from convincing in the Championship in recent weeks, their last four victories all coming by a one-goal margin.

However, that kind of record will only provide Scott Parker with extra reassurances about the character of his squad, who are showing on a weekly basis that they can take advantage of their rivals dropping points.

There will come a time when Parker will expect a bigger contribution in the final third with Philip Billing and Dominic Solanke scoring the Cherries last six goals in the second tier.

Nevertheless, Bournemouth have conceded just three times in seven league matches since the 6-0 defeat at Norwich City in the EFL Cup, a result which can be regarded as the catalyst for 17 points being collected during that period.

Bournemouth have also kept four consecutive clean sheets on the road in the Championship, by far the best record in the division.

Bristol City manager Nigel Pearson pictured on September 25, 2021© Reuters

At a time when Bournemouth have been superb on unfamiliar territory, Bristol City are still struggling to end their winless run at Ashton Gate.

Their last maximum haul came as far back as February, but Nigel Pearson will take the positives from the Robins still sitting in the top 10 of the table.

Pearson returned to training this week after missing the matches with Millwall and Peterborough United because of a second bout of coronavirus.

While it remains to be seen whether Pearson will be back in the dugout at the weekend, he will have confidence in his backroom staff with Bristol City fighting back to run out 3-2 victors at Posh before the international break.

Chris Martin netted the winner six minutes from time, the forward now scoring three of his four goals of the season away from home.

Bristol City Championship form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W

Bournemouth Championship form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W



Team News

Bournemouth midfielder Philip Billing celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on August 6, 2021© Reuters

On the back of his team's victory at Peterborough, Pearson may see no reason to make any changes to his Bristol City XI.

While the likes of Nathan Baker, Jay Dasilva and Nahki Wells are all options if they shake off minor injuries, they will likely be named on the substitutes' bench.

Barring any late fitness issues, Parker may also decide to stick with the Bournemouth team which edged out Sheffield United before the international break.

With the form of Jaidon Anthony having dropped off in recent games, Jamal Lowe is an option in attack with the new arrival yet to make a start for the Cherries.

The likes of Chris Mepham and Emiliano Marcondes are in line to stay among the replacements.

Bristol City possible starting lineup:
Bentley; Tanner, Kalas, Atkinson, Pring; James, King; Williams, Weimann, O'Dowda; Martin

Bournemouth possible starting lineup:
Travers; Smith, Cahill, Kelly, Zemura; Pearson, Lerma, Billing; Christie, Solanke, Anthony


SM words green background

We say: Bristol City 1-2 Bournemouth

While Bristol City have undoubtedly improved under Pearson, we cannot back them to end their winless run at home to the leaders. The Cherries need to offer a little more in the final third on a consistent basis, but Parker's side should be able to edge this contest.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 54.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.53%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-0 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Bristol City vs Bournemouth

Bristol City
11.1%
Draw
18.1%
Bournemouth
70.8%
72
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Bournemouth manager Scott Parker before the match on September 11, 2021
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