Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.61%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest RFC Seraing win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.