Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Waasland-Beveren had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Waasland-Beveren win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.